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Computershare Guides FY27 EPS Up 6% to $1.54 as Margin Income Turns Tailwind, While an Expired High-Margin Contract Clouds Issuer Services

FY26 results call, August 11, 2026: Management EPS of $1.45 lands ahead of the February upgrade, dividend lifted 35%

Computershare reported FY26 Management EPS of $1.452, up 7% and slightly ahead of the $1.44 guidance upgraded in February. Initial guidance a year ago was $1.40. For FY27, management guided to roughly 6% growth to $1.54. The more important change is in margin income, which CEO Stuart Irving said "has passed the low point." The company guided to $770 million in FY27, against $749 million in FY26, which turns the biggest earnings drag of the past two years into a modest tailwind. The quality of that guide is mixed, though. It leans on a rate-hike path that is not yet certain, and the underlying yield on the book is falling for reasons specific to one client.

Margin income: a rate-hike assumption and a client-driven yield drag

CFO Nick Oldfield said the FY27 margin income guide rests on average balances of $32.8 billion, up 2.5% and in line with June exit balances, and a yield of 2.35%. The yield assumes one US rate rise in January, one in Canada in March and two in the UK in November and March, based on curves as at August 10. Management also plans to raise the share of exposed balances that are hedged from about 50% to 60%, the top of its target range. It described this as a "conscious decision" based on attractive longer-term rates. The hedge book's weighted life stays around 5 years. In FY26, balances rose 6% and a higher recapture rate and hedged yield held the yield decline to 19 basis points. That is why margin income fell only 1.6% despite three US rate cuts in the first half.

The guide has two soft spots, both probed by JPMorgan's Siddharth Parameswaran. First, non-exposed balances are rising as a share of the total. Oldfield attributed this to "one particular Corporate Trust client where we've been growing the relationship and growing the balances with them," with all of those balances non-exposed and low-yielding. Management accepts the trade-off because the broader relationship meets its return thresholds. Oldfield expects exposed and non-exposed balances to grow at a similar pace as Corporate Trust expands. Second, conversion efficiency is guided to about 96% for FY27, against 99% in the second half of FY26. Management said that result reflected unusually good rates from banks "hungry for U.S. dollars" on 3-month and 6-month arrangements, which it cannot count on repeating.

Issuer Services: an expired contract changes the mix

The least comfortable disclosure on the call concerned Issuer Services margins. Oldfield said one "high margin... lucrative" contract "has come to its end" and will not repeat in FY27. It will be replaced by growth in Entity Solutions and Investor Engagement at lower margins. Management expects EBIT and EBIT ex MI to grow a little, but "you will probably see a little bit of margin compression." This compounds an FY26 in which Issuer Services EBIT and margin already fell on lower margin income and spending on new technologies and incubating businesses.

The same contract distorts the group-level optics. Excluding the UK mortgage servicing and German print and mail disposals, FY26 EBIT ex MI margin would have been about 18.8%, not the reported 18.2%. The FY27 guide of 3.5% headline EBIT ex MI growth is about 7% on a pro forma basis, according to Oldfield. Operationally, the underlying trends were healthy. US corporate action deal volume rose 8% in the second half, pending deals at June 30 were up 8%, and Hong Kong IPOs rose 96% with strong retail participation. Irving called FY26 "a little bit of a turning point, especially in U.S. listings." Second-half Issuer revenue ex MI growth of 4.3% looked soft to Goldman Sachs' Julian Braganza, and management cited timing of ETF and REIT services rather than any weakness.

Costs: an inflation spike that management says will not repeat

Costs ran above expectations. BAU OpEx rose 4.5% for the year and more than 6% in the second half, and the company spent an additional $39.7 million on new products, technology and capabilities. Merit increases added about $18 million. On-costs rose $25 million, driven by US health care and UK payroll taxes. Oldfield said "there will not be any further step-ups of this nature" and guided FY27 OpEx inflation to below 3% on an all-in basis, or roughly 1% excluding disposals. Citi's Nigel Pittaway noted that Corporate Trust's second-half margin fell back to first-half FY25 levels despite the early Wells Fargo synergy delivery. Management said the first-half FY26 margin is the better guide to the underlying level.

The FY27 plan includes $22 million of cost-out, helped by a $3.5 million upgrade to Stage 5 savings. Because not all of it was in place on July 1, the annualization rolls into FY28. Management still targets a 20% EBIT ex MI margin in FY28, with Oldfield calling it "a sort of medium-term staging post" and not "the end game." Below-the-line cash costs, which fell 34% in FY26, are guided to roughly $47 million pre-tax in FY27 and elimination by FY28. Oldfield said these are project, consulting and redundancy costs that end when the programs end. Capex is expected to rise to about $65 million on facilities, IT infrastructure and AI.

Corporate Trust and Employee Share Plans carry the growth

Oldfield said FY27 growth will come largely from Corporate Trust and Employee Share Plans, with debt issuance the main swing factor. Corporate Trust fees rose about 9%, new deal revenues rose 23%, and the $80 million Wells Fargo synergy target was delivered a year early, taking divisional margin above 17%. Asset-backed issuance grew around 20% and CLOs in the mid-30s, though Irving acknowledged CLOs tapered in the second half and conventional issuance was "a little bit quieter." Spending continues on a CLO portal that provides issuers real-time pricing data and is winning new customers.

Employee Share Plans delivered 10% revenue growth and 24% EBIT growth, with transaction fees up over 18%. Assets under administration rose 8% and units 5%. Irving expects higher trading revenue again in FY27 if markets stay broadly stable. He pointed to "equitization of remuneration," with 15 of the top 20 clients giving equity to about 8% more employees, and to more employees choosing sell-all or partial-sell transactions in an uncertain market. He conceded that "if equity markets correct themselves, of course, there may well be a correction." Management argues, though, that the book is more stable than most investors assume.

Tokenization: positioned, but not waving the flag

Asked about its Securitize partnership, Irving was notably restrained. Computershare can mint and burn digital tokens alongside traditional issued capital through a non-exclusive, API-based arrangement. "There's not a lot of demand at this stage," he said. Issuers are "in an education phase," and he expects traditional and digital markets to run side by side "for many, many years." He likened the excitement to claims that "Bitcoin was going to replace all the banks." He argued that post-trade registration remains critical, a role the SEC has recognized. He also pointed to Computershare's authorship of the Issuer-Sponsored Token design and said tokenization may eventually open revenue pools where the group has not played. "That's a long way off," he added. Parameswaran also asked whether management intends to stay the course through industry change, and the call did not produce a direct answer.

Capital allocation: a near net cash balance sheet, a bigger dividend and a pipeline that is still pricey

Leverage fell to 0.11x, and Oldfield expects net cash by calendar year-end. The final dividend rose 35% to AUD 0.65 per share, bringing the FY26 total to $1.20, up 29%, at a 55% average payout ratio. Irving said there is room to move to the top of the target range. Buybacks remain "inefficient" under Australian tax rules, which is why the balance sheet strength is flowing mainly to dividends. Return on invested capital was 36.5%, and cash conversion was flat at 65% with a path to 70%.

On M&A, Irving said the corporate development team has reviewed assets with enterprise values of $100 million to $800 million over the past six months. Larger assets of $1 billion to $1.5 billion could come to market. "Prices are still a little bit high," he said, and several targets sit in private equity vehicles, which makes management wary of their growth profiles. Deals have been passed over on contract structure and culture as well as price. Corporate Trust remains the priority, including in Europe.

On European Corporate Trust licenses, Irving expects the UK FCA decision within days or weeks and said the Dutch process is 8-plus months away. Initial activity will come from existing US clients wanting European exposure, with acquisitions to supplement it later.

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